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Set M timeline consistency

Posted: Tue May 11, 2021 11:09 pm
by bailen10
Hello all,

Seems from looking at the timeline thread, ILR SetM processing time looks to be around the 5 months mark, best case scenario. Does that seem to be most people’s experiences? Wondering as I am 3 months in to waiting for decision on an application submitted in early February 2021, and wondering if any hope exists at all of anything sooner if I should just put it to the back of my mind until month 5 (July/August).

Have already seen that once biometrics are enrolled there’s no going back or speeding up/upgrading for a set m application, so thanks in advance previous posts for answering that. (Correct me if I’m wrong there)

Any guidance much appreciated thank you!

Re: Set M timeline consistency

Posted: Wed May 12, 2021 1:02 am
by Dantean
The average time taken from submission of application over the past two months for standard Set M, based on the timelines, is 5 months, 11 days. From time of submission of biometrics, the average has been 4 months, 21 days, but it seems to be based on time of application rather than biometrics, because there is more variation from time of biometrics.

The shortest reported time from application in the past couple of months was 4 months, 13 days and the longest was 7 months, 7 days, but those are outliers, or perhaps data entry mistakes.

You can use this web page to add 5 months and 11 days to your application date for a guess:
https://www.timeanddate.com/date/dateadd.html

Re: Set M timeline consistency

Posted: Wed May 12, 2021 9:01 am
by bailen10
Much obliged thank you. Just helpful to have a scale to work with that isnt simply “6 months”!

Re: Set M timeline consistency

Posted: Wed May 12, 2021 8:43 pm
by Navisa7
Dantean wrote:
Wed May 12, 2021 1:02 am
The average time taken from submission of application over the past two months for standard Set M, based on the timelines, is 5 months, 11 days. From time of submission of biometrics, the average has been 4 months, 21 days, but it seems to be based on time of application rather than biometrics, because there is more variation from time of biometrics.

The shortest reported time from application in the past couple of months was 4 months, 13 days and the longest was 7 months, 7 days, but those are outliers, or perhaps data entry mistakes.

You can use this web page to add 5 months and 11 days to your application date for a guess:
https://www.timeanddate.com/date/dateadd.html
Interesting stats Dantean👍 Out of interest ,did you pull this from the timeline forum from users ?
Thanks

Re: Set M timeline consistency

Posted: Thu May 13, 2021 12:30 am
by Dantean
Yes, it's all based on standard Set M timelines. I got tired of calculating the latest in my head each time someone posted so I made a script to show date of application, date of biometric submission and date of decision from users' posts. It calculates the time between the events, then average and mean times.

Some days it looks like they're taking them out of the queue of applications as they came in.

O________
2020-10-27, 2020-11-12, 2021-03-09
4 months, 13 days
3 months, 27 days

j________
2020-10-03, 2020-10-30, 2021-03-16
5 months, 13 days
4 months, 17 days

p________
2020-10-16, 2020-11-13, 2021-03-26
5 months, 10 days
4 months, 13 days

d________
2020-10-15, 2020-10-21, 2021-03-29
5 months, 14 days
5 months, 8 days

B________
2020-10-15, 2020-10-19, 2021-03-30
5 months, 15 days
5 months, 11 days

A________
2020-10-18, 2020-11-14, 2021-03-30
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 16 days

r________
2020-10-19, 2020-11-09, 2021-03-31
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 22 days

c________
2020-10-21, 2020-11-16, 2021-04-06
5 months, 16 days
4 months, 20 days

A________
2020-10-24, 2020-11-23, 2021-04-07
5 months, 14 days
4 months, 14 days

u________
2020-10-24, 2020-11-12, 2021-04-07
5 months, 14 days
4 months, 25 days

M________
2020-10-27, 2020-11-23, 2021-04-08
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 15 days

a________
2020-10-27, 2020-11-24, 2021-04-08
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 14 days

K________
2020-10-28, 2020-11-24, 2021-04-09
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 15 days

m________
2020-10-27, 2020-11-24, 2021-04-12
5 months, 16 days
4 months, 18 days

B________
2020-10-22, 2020-11-18, 2021-04-12
5 months, 21 days
4 months, 24 days

F________
2020-10-30, 2020-11-18, 2021-04-13
5 months, 14 days
4 months, 25 days

i________
2020-11-02, 2020-11-14, 2021-04-14
5 months, 12 days
5 months, 0 days

r________
2020-11-02, 2020-11-20, 2021-04-14
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 24 days

0________
2020-11-02, 2020-11-23, 2021-04-14
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 21 days

j________
2020-11-03, 2020-12-01, 2021-04-16
5 months, 13 days
4 months, 15 days

d________
2020-11-04, 2020-11-17, 2021-04-17
5 months, 13 days
5 months, 0 days

s________
2020-11-02, 2020-12-02, 2021-04-19
5 months, 17 days
4 months, 17 days

H________
2020-11-05, 2020-12-03, 2021-04-20
5 months, 15 days
4 months, 17 days

Q________
2020-11-14, 2020-12-04, 2021-04-20
5 months, 6 days
4 months, 16 days

R________
2020-11-08, 2020-11-23, 2021-04-21
5 months, 13 days
4 months, 28 days

l________
2020-11-12, 2020-12-02, 2021-04-23
5 months, 11 days
4 months, 21 days

P________
2020-11-11, 2020-11-26, 2021-04-23
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 27 days

I________
2020-11-13, 2020-11-20, 2021-04-26
5 months, 13 days
5 months, 6 days

j________
2020-11-15, 2020-12-10, 2021-04-27
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 17 days

J________
2020-11-18, 2020-12-14, 2021-04-28
5 months, 10 days
4 months, 14 days

R________
2020-11-18, 2020-12-09, 2021-04-28
5 months, 10 days
4 months, 19 days

S________
2020-11-19, 2020-11-26, 2021-04-30
5 months, 11 days
5 months, 4 days

P________
2020-11-18, 2020-12-16, 2021-04-30
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 14 days

v________
2020-11-24, 2020-12-05, 2021-05-04
5 months, 10 days
4 months, 30 days

R________
2020-09-29, 2020-11-06, 2021-05-06
7 months, 7 days
6 months, 0 days

A________
2020-11-20, 2020-12-02, 2021-05-06
5 months, 16 days
5 months, 4 days

g________
2020-11-16, 2020-12-04, 2021-05-06
5 months, 20 days
5 months, 2 days

i________
2020-11-27, 2021-01-08, 2021-05-06
5 months, 9 days
3 months, 29 days

Z________
2020-11-15, 2020-12-16, 2021-05-10
5 months, 25 days
4 months, 25 days

Average app->decision: 5 months, 11 days
Average bio->decision: 4 months, 21 days

Mean app->decision: 5 months, 10 days
Mean bio->decision: 4 months, 20 days

Re: Set M timeline consistency

Posted: Thu May 13, 2021 7:15 am
by Navisa7
Dantean wrote:
Thu May 13, 2021 12:30 am
Yes, it's all based on standard Set M timelines. I got tired of calculating the latest in my head each time someone posted so I made a script to show date of application, date of biometric submission and date of decision from users' posts. It calculates the time between the events, then average and mean times.

Some days it looks like they're taking them out of the queue of applications as they came in.

O________
2020-10-27, 2020-11-12, 2021-03-09
4 months, 13 days
3 months, 27 days

j________
2020-10-03, 2020-10-30, 2021-03-16
5 months, 13 days
4 months, 17 days

p________
2020-10-16, 2020-11-13, 2021-03-26
5 months, 10 days
4 months, 13 days

d________
2020-10-15, 2020-10-21, 2021-03-29
5 months, 14 days
5 months, 8 days

B________
2020-10-15, 2020-10-19, 2021-03-30
5 months, 15 days
5 months, 11 days

A________
2020-10-18, 2020-11-14, 2021-03-30
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 16 days

r________
2020-10-19, 2020-11-09, 2021-03-31
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 22 days

c________
2020-10-21, 2020-11-16, 2021-04-06
5 months, 16 days
4 months, 20 days

A________
2020-10-24, 2020-11-23, 2021-04-07
5 months, 14 days
4 months, 14 days

u________
2020-10-24, 2020-11-12, 2021-04-07
5 months, 14 days
4 months, 25 days

M________
2020-10-27, 2020-11-23, 2021-04-08
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 15 days

a________
2020-10-27, 2020-11-24, 2021-04-08
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 14 days

K________
2020-10-28, 2020-11-24, 2021-04-09
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 15 days

m________
2020-10-27, 2020-11-24, 2021-04-12
5 months, 16 days
4 months, 18 days

B________
2020-10-22, 2020-11-18, 2021-04-12
5 months, 21 days
4 months, 24 days

F________
2020-10-30, 2020-11-18, 2021-04-13
5 months, 14 days
4 months, 25 days

i________
2020-11-02, 2020-11-14, 2021-04-14
5 months, 12 days
5 months, 0 days

r________
2020-11-02, 2020-11-20, 2021-04-14
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 24 days

0________
2020-11-02, 2020-11-23, 2021-04-14
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 21 days

j________
2020-11-03, 2020-12-01, 2021-04-16
5 months, 13 days
4 months, 15 days

d________
2020-11-04, 2020-11-17, 2021-04-17
5 months, 13 days
5 months, 0 days

s________
2020-11-02, 2020-12-02, 2021-04-19
5 months, 17 days
4 months, 17 days

H________
2020-11-05, 2020-12-03, 2021-04-20
5 months, 15 days
4 months, 17 days

Q________
2020-11-14, 2020-12-04, 2021-04-20
5 months, 6 days
4 months, 16 days

R________
2020-11-08, 2020-11-23, 2021-04-21
5 months, 13 days
4 months, 28 days

l________
2020-11-12, 2020-12-02, 2021-04-23
5 months, 11 days
4 months, 21 days

P________
2020-11-11, 2020-11-26, 2021-04-23
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 27 days

I________
2020-11-13, 2020-11-20, 2021-04-26
5 months, 13 days
5 months, 6 days

j________
2020-11-15, 2020-12-10, 2021-04-27
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 17 days

J________
2020-11-18, 2020-12-14, 2021-04-28
5 months, 10 days
4 months, 14 days

R________
2020-11-18, 2020-12-09, 2021-04-28
5 months, 10 days
4 months, 19 days

S________
2020-11-19, 2020-11-26, 2021-04-30
5 months, 11 days
5 months, 4 days

P________
2020-11-18, 2020-12-16, 2021-04-30
5 months, 12 days
4 months, 14 days

v________
2020-11-24, 2020-12-05, 2021-05-04
5 months, 10 days
4 months, 30 days

R________
2020-09-29, 2020-11-06, 2021-05-06
7 months, 7 days
6 months, 0 days

A________
2020-11-20, 2020-12-02, 2021-05-06
5 months, 16 days
5 months, 4 days

g________
2020-11-16, 2020-12-04, 2021-05-06
5 months, 20 days
5 months, 2 days

i________
2020-11-27, 2021-01-08, 2021-05-06
5 months, 9 days
3 months, 29 days

Z________
2020-11-15, 2020-12-16, 2021-05-10
5 months, 25 days
4 months, 25 days

Average app->decision: 5 months, 11 days
Average bio->decision: 4 months, 21 days

Mean app->decision: 5 months, 10 days
Mean bio->decision: 4 months, 20 days
Great work Dantean. Thanks for the update 👍

Re: Set M timeline consistency

Posted: Mon May 17, 2021 4:44 pm
by s9k9
I'm in a similar situation, could only apply on standard service at the time of application (March). Is there any way to upgrade to the priority service now to expedite?

Thanks

Re: Set M timeline consistency

Posted: Mon May 17, 2021 4:46 pm
by CR001
s9k9 wrote:
Mon May 17, 2021 4:44 pm
I'm in a similar situation, could only apply on standard service at the time of application (March). Is there any way to upgrade to the priority service now to expedite?

Thanks
No there is no way to upgrade after biomterics.