swintooh wrote: ↑Thu Nov 09, 2017 5:56 pm
I have now traced about 200 applications (ref 2xxxxxx700 to 2xxxxxxx900) in which 3 are mine - applied 9-Jun-2017, receipt confirmation sent to me on 19-Jun-2017.
Here is the statistics:
76/201 are "not recognised" - majority would be family members of main applicant, these don't get updated or tracked as they are "linked" to the main applicant
125 is the number of traceable applications that have been decided or still awaiting decision.
93/125 are already decided (74.4%)
32/125 are still awaiting decision (25.6%)
Looking at general statistics, it's safe to assume HO receives at least 14000 applications per month (they have actually reported that there is a significant increase. 200 applications that I've tracked are just a third of one working day worth if not less (I assume it would only be a fragment of 19-Jun applications).
Now the obvious questions whether the 200 applications I've traced are all naturalisation and registration or this group contains a large variety of other type of applications - visa, asylum, ilr, dcpr, etc - as these have a different timelines to resolve... However, for now I'll be tracing these "awaiting decison" ones as they were all naturalisation/registration cases. Let's see how HO is progressing these...
I love that you did this even more extremely than me.
I was wondering if someone could write an easy script to pull data from say 1000 applications and run some stats on them.
What you say about the untraceable numbers being family members linked to main applicants also makes sense.
I just checked my case ID for my EEA PR application and it follows the same pattern. Both applications were made pretty much one year apart and the difference is roughly 1.25 million. If they use the same reference numbers for all types of applications it would suggest they process roughly 1.25 million per year, including all family members.
Does this number seem sensible?
Thinking that all applications are part of the same number system makes it more bearable that so many around me show decided, assuming other types of applications may take less long.