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Also, a job doing what?? Which SOC?
NO one can tell you what the chances are. The applicant will have to go through the process including RLMT and earn the appropriate salary in addition to meeting all the requirements for Tier 2 visa and general requirements for entering UK.
if the vacancy passes the market test, and depends on the job is in shortage list or not, if yes. Very highly likely your firend can get it. If not, under current circumstance, nearly impossible, with this salary lvevel.