Iggy23 wrote: ↑Thu Oct 01, 2020 9:41 am
To everyone, as it will get messy in a moment with posts and questions, not sure why this is creating problems as it's super easy to understand..
You literally look at the left column find what is the closest date to your approval date, look at the corresponding date on the right column and add 20 days to it = your estimated invitation letter date...
Thanks.
Also, while the output of the model is a date estimate, the idea is more to show that, after long postal delivery is taken into account, the wait time with respect to the ceremony invite should gradually decline from about 17 weeks for approvals granted in the middle of June to about 12 weeks for approvals issued at the end of August 2020 and then it drops to 10 weeks for approvals issued at the end of September.
October and later approvals are yet to be issued, but according to the model, the wait time should decline to 8 weeks by the end of October, 5 weeks by the end of November and 4 weeks by the end of the year.
Finally, it is perhaps fair to say that few would complain if they do better than the model, but those whose delays are longer than predicted, forums such as this and perhaps even the model I have shared, can alert the concerned member of the community that they might be affected by an undue delay.
Incidentally,
my own timeline from filling in the paper application back in September 2010 to having my first British passport delivered at my doorstep was 40 days in total, which included having my paperwork checked and scanned at the council, mailing the application, receiving the invitation letter, scheduling and attending the ceremony, filling in the paper form for the passport, getting the referee to do their bit, mailing the form to the Passport Office, being invited and attending the passport interview in person and finally receiving the maroon booklet. There were no biometric registrations at the time.
Sharing this model - imperfect though it may be - is my way of saying thank you to the community, as I myself benefited from this forum 10 years ago, when I was advised by some savvy members about the way to expedite my passport interview invitation by calling a certain number, getting some code and then calling another number with that code. It worked. I can't remember the numbers, nor what code I needed, but I do remember that from the date of the ceremony to the date of my passport only 7 calendar days passed, thanks to the tips on this forum - it took me longer to receive my renewed (blue) passport (14 calendar days) in September 2020, although I am impressed by how granular the online tracking is nowadays, for passport applications at least.